West Midlands Key Health Data 2007/08

Appendix A
WM PCT Apr 2008 Estimated Registrant Dementia Prevalence with synthetic Projections extrapolated from 2004 Based ONS Projections



 

Dementia Prevalence

Increase from 2008

AREA NAME

AGE GROUP

Prevalence

2008

2013

2018

2023

2028

2008

2013

2018

2023

2028

West Midlands

65-69

1.3%

3,319

4021

3818

3806

4272

0

702

499

488

953

West Midlands

70-74

2.9%

6,366

6809

8311

7932

7943

0

444

1946

1566

1578

West Midlands

75-79

5.9%

10,579

11222

12201

15039

14431

0

643

1623

4460

3853

West Midlands

80-84

12.2%

15,982

17031

18764

20777

25913

0

1049

2782

4795

9931

West Midlands

85+

20.3%

23,447

26410

30064

35200

41229

0

2964

6618

11754

17783

Shropshire

65-69

1.3%

210

271

257

258

292

0

62

47

48

83

Shropshire

70-74

2.9%

391

445

579

552

555

0

55

189

161

164

Shropshire

75-79

5.9%

666

741

855

1114

1068

0

75

189

448

402

Shropshire

80-84

12.2%

1,010

1132

1302

1521

2008

0

122

292

511

998

Shropshire

85+

20.3%

1,537

1780

2103

2548

3115

0

243

566

1011

1578

Warwickshire

65-69

1.3%

328

424

392

388

441

0

96

63

60

113

Warwickshire

70-74

2.9%

616

688

891

824

824

0

72

276

209

209

Warwickshire

75-79

5.9%

1,044

1143

1288

1676

1566

0

99

244

632

522

Warwickshire

80-84

12.2%

1,600

1747

1979

2272

2980

0

147

379

672

1380

Warwickshire

85+

20.3%

2,400

2726

3133

3743

4495

0

325

732

1343

2095

Worcestershire

65-69

1.3%

359

470

446

431

479

0

111

87

72

120

Worcestershire

70-74

2.9%

666

749

984

935

910

0

82

318

269

244

Worcestershire

75-79

5.9%

1,124

1239

1404

1855

1775

0

114

280

731

651

Worcestershire

80-84

12.2%

1,738

1906

2181

2505

3332

0

168

443

767

1594

Worcestershire

85+

20.3%

2,580

2962

3458

4146

5006

0

382

879

1567

2427

Herefordshire, County of

65-69

1.3%

128

168

164

168

186

0

40

36

40

57

Herefordshire, County of

70-74

2.9%

254

290

379

370

379

0

36

124

116

124

Herefordshire, County of

75-79

5.9%

434

486

554

726

714

0

51

120

291

280

Herefordshire, County of

80-84

12.2%

683

742

848

990

1296

0

59

165

306

613

Herefordshire, County of

85+

20.3%

986

1157

1366

1631

1973

0

171

379

645

986

BEN PCT

65-69

1.3%

220

241

235

239

267

0

21

15

19

47

BEN PCT

70-74

2.9%

463

446

494

484

494

0

-17

31

21

31

BEN PCT

75-79

5.9%

811

805

791

887

873

0

-6

-20

76

61

BEN PCT

80-84

12.2%

1,228

1228

1264

1270

1453

0

0

35

41

224

BEN PCT

85+

20.3%

1,801

1915

2048

2267

2458

0

114

248

467

657

HoBT PCT

65-69

1.3%

109

119

116

118

132

0

10

7

9

23

HoBT PCT

70-74

2.9%

219

211

234

229

234

0

-8

15

10

15

HoBT PCT

75-79

5.9%

344

341

335

376

370

0

-2

-9

32

26

HoBT PCT

80-84

12.2%

427

427

439

441

505

0

0

12

14

78

HoBT PCT

85+

20.3%

547

582

622

689

747

0

35

75

142

200

S Birmingham PCT

65-69

1.3%

184

202

197

200

224

0

17

12

16

39

S Birmingham PCT

70-74

2.9%

360

347

384

377

384

0

-13

24

16

24

S Birmingham PCT

75-79

5.9%

651

647

635

712

701

0

-5

-16

61

49

S Birmingham PCT

80-84

12.2%

1,033

1033

1063

1068

1222

0

0

30

35

189

S Birmingham PCT

85+

20.3%

1,565

1664

1780

1971

2136

0

99

215

406

571

Coventry

65-69

1.3%

173

194

182

189

210

0

21

10

17

38

Coventry

70-74

2.9%

338

338

384

362

381

0

0

46

25

43

Coventry

75-79

5.9%

586

606

619

710

677

0

20

33

124

91

Coventry

80-84

12.2%

955

941

1011

1052

1232

0

-14

55

97

277

Coventry

85+

20.3%

1,444

1510

1619

1816

2035

0

66

175

372

591

Dudley

65-69

1.3%

204

236

221

214

237

0

32

18

10

33

Dudley

70-74

2.9%

390

407

477

449

435

0

17

87

59

45

Dudley

75-79

5.9%

659

713

755

893

845

0

54

96

234

186

Dudley

80-84

12.2%

939

1026

1150

1248

1496

0

87

210

309

556

Dudley

85+

20.3%

1,329

1500

1736

2058

2400

0

171

407

729

1072

Sandwell

65-69

1.3%

184

196

190

194

222

0

12

6

10

38

Sandwell

70-74

2.9%

361

358

386

377

386

0

-3

26

16

26

Sandwell

75-79

5.9%

627

640

654

709

695

0

14

27

82

68

Sandwell

80-84

12.2%

928

928

996

1023

1132

0

0

68

95

205

Sandwell

85+

20.3%

1,322

1392

1507

1693

1879

0

70

186

371

557

Solihull

65-69

1.3%

131

167

146

145

171

0

36

15

13

40

Solihull

70-74

2.9%

256

268

344

305

302

0

12

87

48

45

Solihull

75-79

5.9%

469

469

494

638

569

0

0

25

169

100

Solihull

80-84

12.2%

732

758

783

848

1092

0

26

51

116

360

Solihull

85+

20.3%

1,011

1217

1378

1539

1745

0

207

367

528

735

Walsall

65-69

1.3%

162

174

165

164

184

0

13

4

3

23

Walsall

70-74

2.9%

306

314

345

328

328

0

8

39

22

22

Walsall

75-79

5.9%

532

556

579

638

615

0

24

47

106

83

Walsall

80-84

12.2%

724

795

866

926

1032

0

71

142

202

309

Walsall

85+

20.3%

997

1131

1323

1553

1764

0

134

326

556

767

Wolverhampton

65-69

1.3%

146

160

161

161

179

0

14

15

15

33

Wolverhampton

70-74

2.9%

291

288

315

321

321

0

-3

24

30

30

Wolverhampton

75-79

5.9%

524

518

518

580

593

0

-6

-6

56

69

Wolverhampton

80-84

12.2%

786

824

836

862

976

0

38

51

76

190

Wolverhampton

85+

20.3%

1,113

1257

1422

1587

1773

0

144

309

474

660

South Staffordshire

65-69

1.3%

380

458

428

422

470

0

77

48

42

89

South Staffordshire

70-74

2.9%

684

789

947

894

881

0

105

263

210

197

South Staffordshire

75-79

5.9%

1,120

1288

1484

1792

1708

0

168

364

672

588

South Staffordshire

80-84

12.2%

1,621

1853

2258

2606

3185

0

232

637

984

1563

South Staffordshire

85+

20.3%

2,274

2843

3411

4359

5306

0

569

1137

2085

3032

Telford & Wrekin

65-69

1.3%

93

116

120

120

136

0

24

27

27

43

Telford & Wrekin

70-74

2.9%

158

185

236

242

244

0

27

78

83

86

Telford & Wrekin

75-79

5.9%

250

291

349

448

459

0

41

99

198

209

Telford & Wrekin

80-84

12.2%

358

394

490

597

765

0

36

131

239

406

Telford & Wrekin

85+

20.3%

494

568

677

842

1062

0

73

183

348

568

North Staffordshire

65-69

1.3%

136

178

165

159

179

0

42

29

23

43

North Staffordshire

70-74

2.9%

262

278

363

340

332

0

15

100

77

69

North Staffordshire

75-79

5.9%

431

462

504

662

625

0

32

74

231

194

North Staffordshire

80-84

12.2%

649

704

792

870

1156

0

55

143

220

506

North Staffordshire

85+

20.3%

939

1090

1277

1503

1766

0

150

338

564

827

 
 

Produced by Dr KS Sidhu Consultant in Public Health Medicine WMCBSA khesh.sidhu@wmcbsa.nhs.uk

 


 

Population Projections

Absolute Difference

Relative Difference

AREA NAME

AGE GROUP

2008

2013

2018

2023

2028

2008

2013

2018

2023

2028

2008

2013

2018

2023

2028

West Midlands

65-69

255.3

309.3

293.7

292.8

328.6

100%

121%

115%

115%

129%

0%

21%

15%

15%

29%

West Midlands

70-74

219.5

234.8

286.6

273.5

273.9

100%

107%

131%

125%

125%

0%

7%

31%

25%

25%

West Midlands

75-79

179.3

190.2

206.8

254.9

244.6

100%

106%

115%

142%

136%

0%

6%

15%

42%

36%

West Midlands

80-84

131.0

139.6

153.8

170.3

212.4

100%

107%

117%

130%

162%

0%

7%

17%

30%

62%

West Midlands

85+

115.5

130.1

148.1

173.4

203.1

100%

113%

128%

150%

176%

0%

13%

28%

50%

76%

Shropshire

65-69

16.1

20.9

19.7

19.8

22.5

100%

129%

122%

123%

139%

0%

29%

22%

23%

39%

Shropshire

70-74

13.5

15.4

20.0

19.0

19.1

100%

114%

148%

141%

142%

0%

14%

48%

41%

42%

Shropshire

75-79

11.3

12.6

14.5

18.9

18.1

100%

111%

128%

167%

160%

0%

11%

28%

67%

60%

Shropshire

80-84

8.3

9.3

10.7

12.5

16.5

100%

112%

129%

151%

199%

0%

12%

29%

51%

99%

Shropshire

85+

7.6

8.8

10.4

12.6

15.3

100%

116%

137%

166%

203%

0%

16%

37%

66%

103%

Warwickshire

65-69

25.2

32.6

30.1

29.8

33.9

100%

129%

119%

118%

134%

0%

29%

19%

18%

34%

Warwickshire

70-74

21.2

23.7

30.7

28.4

28.4

100%

112%

145%

134%

134%

0%

12%

45%

34%

34%

Warwickshire

75-79

17.7

19.4

21.8

28.4

26.5

100%

109%

123%

161%

150%

0%

9%

23%

61%

50%

Warwickshire

80-84

13.1

14.3

16.2

18.6

24.4

100%

109%

124%

142%

186%

0%

9%

24%

42%

86%

Warwickshire

85+

11.8

13.4

15.4

18.4

22.1

100%

114%

131%

156%

187%

0%

14%

31%

56%

87%

Worcestershire

65-69

27.6

36.2

34.3

33.1

36.8

100%

131%

124%

120%

133%

0%

31%

24%

20%

33%

Worcestershire

70-74

23.0

25.8

33.9

32.2

31.4

100%

112%

148%

140%

137%

0%

12%

48%

40%

37%

Worcestershire

75-79

19.1

21.0

23.8

31.4

30.1

100%

110%

125%

165%

158%

0%

10%

25%

65%

58%

Worcestershire

80-84

14.2

15.6

17.9

20.5

27.3

100%

110%

126%

144%

192%

0%

10%

26%

44%

92%

Worcestershire

85+

12.7

14.6

17.0

20.4

24.7

100%

115%

134%

161%

194%

0%

15%

34%

61%

94%

Herefordshire, County of

65-69

9.9

12.9

12.6

12.9

14.3

100%

131%

128%

131%

145%

0%

31%

28%

31%

45%

Herefordshire, County of

70-74

8.8

10.0

13.1

12.8

13.1

100%

114%

149%

146%

149%

0%

14%

49%

46%

49%

Herefordshire, County of

75-79

7.4

8.2

9.4

12.3

12.1

100%

112%

128%

167%

164%

0%

12%

28%

67%

64%

Herefordshire, County of

80-84

5.6

6.1

7.0

8.1

10.6

100%

109%

124%

145%

190%

0%

9%

24%

45%

90%

Herefordshire, County of

85+

4.9

5.7

6.7

8.0

9.7

100%

117%

138%

165%

200%

0%

17%

38%

65%

100%

BEN PCT

65-69

16.9

18.5

18.1

18.4

20.6

100%

109%

107%

109%

121%

0%

9%

7%

9%

21%

BEN PCT

70-74

16.0

15.4

17.0

16.7

17.0

100%

96%

107%

105%

107%

0%

-4%

7%

5%

7%

BEN PCT

75-79

13.7

13.6

13.4

15.0

14.8

100%

99%

97%

109%

108%

0%

-1%

-3%

9%

8%

BEN PCT

80-84

10.1

10.1

10.4

10.4

11.9

100%

100%

103%

103%

118%

0%

0%

3%

3%

18%

BEN PCT

85+

8.9

9.4

10.1

11.2

12.1

100%

106%

114%

126%

137%

0%

6%

14%

26%

37%

HoBT PCT

65-69

8.4

9.2

8.9

9.1

10.2

100%

109%

107%

109%

121%

0%

9%

7%

9%

21%

HoBT PCT

70-74

7.5

7.3

8.1

7.9

8.1

100%

96%

107%

105%

107%

0%

-4%

7%

5%

7%

HoBT PCT

75-79

5.8

5.8

5.7

6.4

6.3

100%

99%

97%

109%

108%

0%

-1%

-3%

9%

8%

HoBT PCT

80-84

3.5

3.5

3.6

3.6

4.1

100%

100%

103%

103%

118%

0%

0%

3%

3%

18%

HoBT PCT

85+

2.7

2.9

3.1

3.4

3.7

100%

106%

114%

126%

137%

0%

6%

14%

26%

37%

S Birmingham PCT

65-69

14.2

15.5

15.1

15.4

17.2

100%

109%

107%

109%

121%

0%

9%

7%

9%

21%

S Birmingham PCT

70-74

12.4

12.0

13.3

13.0

13.3

100%

96%

107%

105%

107%

0%

-4%

7%

5%

7%

S Birmingham PCT

75-79

11.0

11.0

10.8

12.1

11.9

100%

99%

97%

109%

108%

0%

-1%

-3%

9%

8%

S Birmingham PCT

80-84

8.5

8.5

8.7

8.8

10.0

100%

100%

103%

103%

118%

0%

0%

3%

3%

18%

S Birmingham PCT

85+

7.7

8.2

8.8

9.7

10.5

100%

106%

114%

126%

137%

0%

6%

14%

26%

37%

Coventry

65-69

13.3

14.9

14.0

14.6

16.2

100%

112%

106%

110%

122%

0%

12%

6%

10%

22%

Coventry

70-74

11.6

11.6

13.2

12.5

13.1

100%

100%

114%

107%

113%

0%

0%

14%

7%

13%

Coventry

75-79

9.9

10.3

10.5

12.0

11.5

100%

103%

106%

121%

116%

0%

3%

6%

21%

16%

Coventry

80-84

7.8

7.7

8.3

8.6

10.1

100%

99%

106%

110%

129%

0%

-1%

6%

10%

29%

Coventry

85+

7.1

7.4

8.0

8.9

10.0

100%

105%

112%

126%

141%

0%

5%

12%

26%

41%

Dudley

65-69

15.7

18.1

17.0

16.4

18.2

100%

116%

109%

105%

116%

0%

16%

9%

5%

16%

Dudley

70-74

13.4

14.0

16.4

15.5

15.0

100%

104%

122%

115%

112%

0%

4%

22%

15%

12%

Dudley

75-79

11.2

12.1

12.8

15.1

14.3

100%

108%

115%

135%

128%

0%

8%

15%

35%

28%

Dudley

80-84

7.7

8.4

9.4

10.2

12.3

100%

109%

122%

133%

159%

0%

9%

22%

33%

59%

Dudley

85+

6.5

7.4

8.6

10.1

11.8

100%

113%

131%

155%

181%

0%

13%

31%

55%

81%

Sandwell

65-69

14.2

15.0

14.6

14.9

17.1

100%

106%

103%

106%

120%

0%

6%

3%

6%

20%

Sandwell

70-74

12.4

12.3

13.3

13.0

13.3

100%

99%

107%

104%

107%

0%

-1%

7%

4%

7%

Sandwell

75-79

10.6

10.9

11.1

12.0

11.8

100%

102%

104%

113%

111%

0%

2%

4%

13%

11%

Sandwell

80-84

7.6

7.6

8.2

8.4

9.3

100%

100%

107%

110%

122%

0%

0%

7%

10%

22%

Sandwell

85+

6.5

6.9

7.4

8.3

9.3

100%

105%

114%

128%

142%

0%

5%

14%

28%

42%

Solihull

65-69

10.1

12.9

11.2

11.1

13.2

100%

128%

111%

110%

131%

0%

28%

11%

10%

31%

Solihull

70-74

8.8

9.3

11.9

10.5

10.4

100%

105%

134%

119%

118%

0%

5%

34%

19%

18%

Solihull

75-79

7.9

7.9

8.4

10.8

9.6

100%

100%

105%

136%

121%

0%

0%

5%

36%

21%

Solihull

80-84

6.0

6.2

6.4

6.9

8.9

100%

104%

107%

116%

149%

0%

4%

7%

16%

49%

Solihull

85+

5.0

6.0

6.8

7.6

8.6

100%

120%

136%

152%

173%

0%

20%

36%

52%

73%

Walsall

65-69

12.4

13.4

12.7

12.6

14.2

100%

108%

102%

102%

114%

0%

8%

2%

2%

14%

Walsall

70-74

10.6

10.8

11.9

11.3

11.3

100%

103%

113%

107%

107%

0%

3%

13%

7%

7%

Walsall

75-79

9.0

9.4

9.8

10.8

10.4

100%

104%

109%

120%

116%

0%

4%

9%

20%

16%

Walsall

80-84

5.9

6.5

7.1

7.6

8.5

100%

110%

120%

128%

143%

0%

10%

20%

28%

43%

Walsall

85+

4.9

5.6

6.5

7.6

8.7

100%

113%

133%

156%

177%

0%

13%

33%

56%

77%

Wolverhampton

65-69

11.2

12.3

12.4

12.4

13.8

100%

110%

110%

110%

123%

0%

10%

10%

10%

23%

Wolverhampton

70-74

10.0

9.9

10.9

11.1

11.1

100%

99%

108%

110%

110%

0%

-1%

8%

10%

10%

Wolverhampton

75-79

8.9

8.8

8.8

9.8

10.0

100%

99%

99%

111%

113%

0%

-1%

-1%

11%

13%

Wolverhampton

80-84

6.4

6.8

6.9

7.1

8.0

100%

105%

106%

110%

124%

0%

5%

6%

10%

24%

Wolverhampton

85+

5.5

6.2

7.0

7.8

8.7

100%

113%

128%

143%

159%

0%

13%

28%

43%

59%

South Staffordshire

65-69

29.3

35.2

32.9

32.5

36.1

100%

120%

113%

111%

123%

0%

20%

13%

11%

23%

South Staffordshire

70-74

23.6

27.2

32.6

30.8

30.4

100%

115%

138%

131%

129%

0%

15%

38%

31%

29%

South Staffordshire

75-79

19.0

21.8

25.1

30.4

28.9

100%

115%

133%

160%

153%

0%

15%

33%

60%

53%

South Staffordshire

80-84

13.3

15.2

18.5

21.4

26.1

100%

114%

139%

161%

196%

0%

14%

39%

61%

96%

South Staffordshire

85+

11.2

14.0

16.8

21.5

26.1

100%

125%

150%

192%

233%

0%

25%

50%

92%

133%

Telford & Wrekin

65-69

7.1

8.9

9.2

9.2

10.5

100%

125%

129%

129%

147%

0%

25%

29%

29%

47%

Telford & Wrekin

70-74

5.5

6.4

8.1

8.3

8.4

100%

117%

149%

153%

154%

0%

17%

49%

53%

54%

Telford & Wrekin

75-79

4.2

4.9

5.9

7.6

7.8

100%

116%

140%

179%

184%

0%

16%

40%

79%

84%

Telford & Wrekin

80-84

2.9

3.2

4.0

4.9

6.3

100%

110%

137%

167%

213%

0%

10%

37%

67%

113%

Telford & Wrekin

85+

2.4

2.8

3.3

4.1

5.2

100%

115%

137%

170%

215%

0%

15%

37%

70%

115%

North Staffordshire

65-69

10.4

13.7

12.7

12.2

13.8

100%

131%

122%

117%

132%

0%

31%

22%

17%

32%

North Staffordshire

70-74

9.0

9.6

12.5

11.7

11.4

100%

106%

138%

129%

126%

0%

6%

38%

29%

26%

North Staffordshire

75-79

7.3

7.8

8.5

11.2

10.6

100%

107%

117%

154%

145%

0%

7%

17%

54%

45%

North Staffordshire

80-84

5.3

5.8

6.5

7.1

9.5

100%

108%

122%

134%

178%

0%

8%

22%

34%

78%

North Staffordshire

85+

4.6

5.4

6.3

7.4

8.7

100%

116%

136%

160%

188%

0%

16%

36%

60%

88%

 
 

Produced by Dr KS Sidhu Consultant in Public Health Medicine WMCBSA khesh.sidhu@wmcbsa.nhs.uk

 

For more information please contact Sarafina Cotterill  
© Public Health, Epidemiology and Biostatistics Unit, School of Health and Population Sciences, University of Birmingham